Dec 30, 2010

Wikileaks, iPads, & 3D will probably make most top 10 tech lists for 2010,

along with things like cloud computing, mobile platforms and apps, and, of course social media. Making technology predictions can be a little like predicting the weather or the stock market, but we’ve pulled together some reasonable forecasts from some of our favored reliable sources. (These, of course, are in addition to our own predictions embedded in previous posts regarding the growth of the tablet pc market and the related Google / Apple / Facebook / et al power struggles.) Enjoy, share, discuss, and please feel free to offer your own prognostications. 



While video game makers leave behind a year of slow sales in 2010, the prediction for 2011 is that a new generation of games for tablet computers, mobile phones and social networks will spur a return to growth.


Apps are here to stay. More than half a million apps are downloaded every hour and the average smartphone user has 22 of them, says Mobclix, citing a Borrell Associates data. But apps are ready to expand beyond the smartphone to appear on TVs, desktop, Web browsers, Blu-ray players, and even cars (Ford SYNC AppLink).
Mobile Apps like Foursquare will continue to contribute to the redefinition of Internet and web services based on the location-beacon inside our mobile devices.


The trend toward a more intimate social network will also gain in momentum, building on the success of TextPlus, GroupMe, Path, Instagram, and others, including Beluga, developed by three former Google employees.
Ravit Lichtenberg also makes some sound predictions on ReadWriteWeb about social media, including that “2. Companies will integrate social feedback into their decision making process” and “10. The role of the social media strategist will be changing.”


On a related note, among the kernels of wisdom you’ll find in angel investor Tim Ferriss’ 4 Social Media Marketing Predictions for 2011 on Mashable is the reminder that analytics isn’t just about keeping track of numbers.
“Listening” isn’t enough. Tracking the number of Twitter mentions tells you nothing. The bigger question is: What are we trying to build or accomplish, and how will we digest and use this data.”


Other technology topics that we’ll be hearing a lot about in the news in 2011 will be business intelligence, and NFC, or Near Field Communication technology, which has the potential to revolutionize mobile payments.


For the more adventurous reader: Tim O’Reilly discusses how DIY reveals the future of technology trends.


All the mishegas over the product name couldn’t diminish consumer desire. While the iPad’s closed system remains a problem, otherwise it’s a trendsetter. Not only has it opened a whole new market, but it’s spawned new forms of collaborative creativity in the form of the iPad Orchestra.
The real issues with the device, as addressed in this article by Mathew Ingram, has more to do with the apps being developed for use on the platform. See also Poynter for more on the same subject.


Happy New Year!

Tags: predictions, trends, apps

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